Originally posted by Tangler
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That's how I objectively figured out what actually objectively outperforms based on my own hard data, not simply believing the opinion of anyone else. Any opinion you get is going to be loaded with undisclosed and even subconscious subjective bias. If you haven't noticed, I don't really care what anybody says without presenting data, whether it is Dave, John C. Wall Street gurus, or anyone else. Numbers don't lie and I can therefore make sure I'm not lying to myself. If you're not interested in the performance in the data, opting instead for the diversification of a VTSAX, that's fine too.
Of course some of us beat total market with our portfolio's, but we are willing to give up diversification to do that. That is a trade-off. It's likely because we're multiple fold FI whereas for one who is not FI or at just 1x FI a market downturn can cause difficulty that wouldn't be a significant issue for us. If one's investments are heavily diversified outside of the markets that also offsets the trade-off. Hence individual circumstances are so relevant. Investing with a NW of $5M is very different than doing so with $20M or $50M. I'm finding here therein lies the dichotomy of thought process and risk tolerance.
Put another way, I find that winning the game gives you more flexibility when it comes to risk/reward. I don't find many who have won quitting since you can invest with a safe cushion. Buffet and Bezos could have quit working/growing businesses years ago. Forget about active funds, look how much single stock risk Bezos is taking. With a 99.999% loss he would still be FI.
Concern over a 5% stake in a strong sector with a proven long term record purchased after a correction is probably too much risk intolerance, unless you think it's not a risk tolerance issue rather the fund/sector will just take a major U turn as soon as Tangler hits the buy button. IDK, maybe there's a conspiracy that the whole world will hit the sell button once I hit the buy button, or so it feels that way sometimes preventing us from taking reasonable, calculated risk for any reward beyond 12-15% long term annualized.
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