Originally posted by jacoavlu
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Originally posted by fatlittlepig View Post
I think the bigger question isn't if it falls 85% but if it remains stagnant. You're a true believer, however I've learned over the years that anything is possible. It could go down to $3000 again, you just don't know and it wouldn't surprise me.
But anyway, with no dividend, no equity, and no pricing power, what is it's real performance (net of inflation) over the last two years?
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Originally posted by FIREshrink View Post
I'm one of those who thinks BTC is more than a scam but a lot less than what its fans claim. I think it probably more or less tracks inflation, risk on, and mathematically-induced scarcity so wouldn't surprise me to see it worth anywhere from $10k - $50k over the next X years. $1,000,000 would surprise me, as would $1000.
But anyway, with no dividend, no equity, and no pricing power, what is it's real performance (net of inflation) over the last two years?
you’ve got a pretty broad range of outcomes there especially considering timeframe is X years
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Originally posted by jacoavlu View Post
There will be plenty survive. They’re basically securities. So all the VC bros and Goldman Sachs legacy money behind a lot of the stuff will prop them up and ride it out.
VCs are the first to dump in a bear, since they got in at like 1 cent on most of them. Still make huge profits.
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Originally posted by FIREshrink View PostI'm one of those who thinks BTC is more than a scam but a lot less than what its fans claim. I think it probably more or less tracks inflation...
What would make you think any crypto tracks inflation? Their huge and extensive track record and common use as currency for everyday goods and services? Oh, wait.
Bitcoin did a great job of trying to steal qualities from gold ("store of value," "tracks inflation," "alternative investment," little gold coin pictures, etc). They also obviously stole from the stock market ("market cap," "split," "IPO," "bulls and bears," etc etc). The marketing is geeeenius, huh? Substance still lacks severely, though.
Originally posted by FIREshrink View PostI'm one of those who thinks BTC is more than a scam ... wouldn't surprise me to see it worth anywhere from $10k - $50k over the next X years. $1,000,000 would surprise me, as would $1000...
When greater fool theory stuff runs out of steam and the original investors dump, the bottom arrives in VERY short order. As xray said, the people who got a BTC for $10 don't give two craps about those who paid 1000x that or much more... they know it has no real value once inflow of "investors" is done.
Is it really a surprise if BTC and crypto went to nothing when it came from nothing, does nothing, and produces nothing? Hmmm.
I don't think that should be surprising to anyone at all... although it'll be a shock to some who paid $50k hoping to sell it for $100k. It is like watching the DotCom crash all over again with endless IPOs and companies (well, "coins") with no earnings flying up the price graphs. The winners are the original investors, everyone else holds the bag.
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Originally posted by Nysoz View PostBTC does do stuff, just nothing most people interact with on a regular basis so far. It's just a matter of adoption if it's truly better in the long run.
Gold is used every day, either in jewelry or electronics.
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Originally posted by jacoavlu View Post
lol nothing illegal. Small and large purchases ranging 2-5 figures
the last one was a $500 canadian freight shipment invoice paid by bitcoin instead of an international wire
The reason I have used it in these various fashions is to support the adoption/growth of the network. Otherwise, it is HODL only.
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